Markets and Monetary Policy
War in Europe and global supply chain constraints have led to double digit inflation in India leading to market liquidity tightening policies by RBI. Interest rates have been raised by 90 bps within one month. Further monetary tightening from RBI is predicted in the coming months. Analysts are predicting recession in USA, with a 44% probability because of Fed rate hikes there too, as Fed raised interest rates by 75 bps in one go. Many analysts have pared down India's GDP growth projections from 9% to around 7% on YoY. But, still growth is there, though uneven, across the sectors in India, from power to agriculture to retail would be governed by its demand supply dynamics.