Tatler-Cox: Gold Plunges On Rate Hike Jitters
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Ongoing, First published Oct 26, 2016
Tatler-Cox: Gold prices fell sharply to below the psychological $1300 level this week on renewed Fed rate hike rhetoric.
Tatler Cox: The price of gold suffered its biggest one day fall in almost 3 years following the release of US economic data that appeared to support the narrative that the world's largest economy was growing fast enough to justify at least one increase in interest rates by the end of the year.
Spot gold fell by 3% in Tuesday's session to just over $1271.00 per troy ounce, a level not seen since before the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union on June 26th. Despite attempting to stage a rally the following day, a slew of additional data saw the yellow metal pare gains made during the Asian and European sessions taking prices below $1270.00.
Gold is sensitive to strength in the US dollar and signs the US Federal Reserve may raise interest rates, reducing gold's appeal as an alternative asset.
"This kind of price action will make a few investors pause for consideration but we remain very confident in gold," said Shinjei Ako, head of commodities research at Tatler-Cox.
"We're very much at the end of this particular economic cycle and there are definitive signs that growth will slow in the US. We don't think the Fed can raise interest rates much beyond a token 25 basis points in December. Much of gold's meteoric rise since December came after the last rate hike and you'd be hard pressed to find anyone who genuinely believes that the central bank can raise interest rates 3 or 4 times in 2017 so we're advising clients to take this opportunity to add to their gold holdings."
Tatler-Cox says it will maintain its $1400 price target on gold by year end.
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𝑆ℎ𝑜𝑟𝑡 𝑒𝑟𝑜𝑡𝑖𝑐 𝑠𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑖𝑒𝑠, 𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑏𝑖𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑛 𝑟𝑜𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒, 𝑑𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒𝑟𝑜𝑢𝑠 𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑦, 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑘𝑦 𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑢𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠. 𝑊𝑖𝑙𝑙 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑦 𝑔𝑒𝑡 𝑐𝑎𝑢𝑔ℎ𝑡, 𝑜𝑟 𝑤𝑖𝑙𝑙 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑦 𝑏𝑒 𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑡𝑜 𝑘𝑒𝑒𝑝 𝑎 𝑑𝑒𝑒𝑝, 𝑟𝑜𝑢𝑔ℎ 𝑠𝑒𝑐𝑟𝑒𝑡? ------------------------------------------------------------------------- "𝐼 𝑠ℎ𝑜𝑢𝑙𝑑𝑛'𝑡 𝐼 𝑤𝑜𝑢𝑙𝑑𝑛'𝑡, 𝑏𝑢𝑡 𝐼 𝑐𝑎𝑛'𝑡 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑦 𝑎𝑤𝑎𝑦" ------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✰✰✰✰✰✰✰✰✰✰✰✰✰✰✰✰✰✰✰✰✰ 𝑀𝑦 𝐵𝑟𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑠 𝐵𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝐹𝑟𝑖𝑒𝑛𝑑 𝑀𝑖𝑦𝑎 "𝑇ℎ𝑎𝑡'𝑠 𝑏𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑢𝑠𝑒 𝑦𝑜𝑢 ℎ𝑎𝑣𝑒 𝑠𝑒𝑒𝑑𝑠 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑎 𝑏𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑛, 𝑡ℎ𝑎𝑡'𝑠 𝑖𝑓 𝑦𝑜𝑢 ℎ𝑎𝑣𝑒 𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑎𝑡 𝑎𝑙𝑙. 𝐼 𝑡𝑎𝑘𝑒 𝑤ℎ𝑎𝑡 𝐼 𝑠𝑎𝑖𝑑 𝑏𝑎𝑐𝑘 𝑦𝑜𝑢'𝑟𝑒 𝑏𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑙𝑒𝑠𝑠, 𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑟 𝑏𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑛 𝑖𝑠 𝑑𝑒𝑎𝑑, 𝑛𝑜𝑛 𝑒𝑥𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔. " 𝐾𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑒 "𝐼 𝑐𝑎𝑛 𝑠ℎ𝑜𝑤 𝑦𝑜𝑢 𝑤ℎ𝑎𝑡 𝑏𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑛𝑙𝑒𝑠𝑠 𝑖𝑠, " ℎ𝑒 𝑠𝑎𝑖𝑑 𝑖𝑛 ℎ𝑖𝑠 𝑑𝑒𝑒𝑝 𝑣𝑜𝑖𝑐𝑒. ---------------------------------------------------- 𝑊𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔, 𝑡ℎ𝑖𝑠 𝑖𝑠 𝑑𝑒𝑓𝑖𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑒𝑙𝑦 𝑛𝑜𝑡 𝑠𝑎𝑓𝑒 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑤𝑜𝑟𝑘
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